BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Arkansas St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 89 Overall: (25-11) Overall Strength =   38.49
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (15-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-10)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2024 Home    W   *  38.45  80  75 1  1 103 (28- 7) Akron                  -0.04      5.04                      
 2 11-08-2024 Away    L      50.85  79  88    1   5 (28- 9) Alabama                12.36    -21.36                      
 3 11-12-2024 Home    W   *  40.98  80  63    1 221 (19-14) Ark Little Rock         2.49     14.51                      
 4 11-16-2024 Home    W   *  32.76  59  49    1 263 (14-17) SF Austin              -5.73     15.73                      
 5 11-22-2024 Home    W      38.49 103  60   ZZ 134 ( 0- 1) Lane                    0.00 *   43.00                      
 6 11-29-2024 Neutral W   *  34.10  86  81    1 201 (14-18) Indiana St             -4.39      9.39                      
 7 11-30-2024 Neutral L   *  21.51  67  75    1 204 (13-19) Rice                  -16.98      8.98                      
 8 12-01-2024 Neutral L   *  26.81  66  68    1 215 (15-18) Hofstra               -11.68      9.68                      
 9 12-05-2024 Home    W   *  24.40  66  64    1 250 (16-18) Jackson St            -14.09     16.09                      
10 12-08-2024 Away    W   *  59.78  85  72    1  60 (29- 6) Memphis                21.29     -8.29                      
11 12-12-2024 Home    W   *  29.16  83  79    1 226 (13-18) UT Arlington           -9.33     13.33                      
12 12-15-2024 Away    W   *  48.84  98  89 1  1 102 (24-13) Alabama-Birmingham     10.35     -1.35                      
13 12-21-2024 Home    W * *  47.95  97  67    1 326 (10-22) Coastal Car             9.46     20.54                      
14 01-02-2025 Away    W * *  45.01  78  59    1 291 (15-20) Old Dominion            6.52     12.48                      
15 01-04-2025 Away    L * *  28.64  62  67    1 173 (20-12) James Madison          -9.85      4.85                      
16 01-09-2025 Away    L * *  23.43  62  76    1 129 (21-11) South Alabama         -15.06      1.06                      
17 01-11-2025 Away    W * *  45.21  84  78    1 107 (23-11) Troy                    6.72     -0.72                      
18 01-16-2025 Home    W * *  38.53  83  63    1 318 (12-21) Louisiana               0.04     19.96                      
19 01-18-2025 Home    W * *  48.23  85  59    1 260 (14-19) Georgia St              9.74     16.26                      
20 01-23-2025 Home    W * *  37.13  65  55    1 185 (17-14) Appalachian St         -1.36     11.36                      
21 01-25-2025 Home    W * *  41.46  80  65    1 206 (16-16) Texas St                2.97     12.03                      
22 01-29-2025 Away    W * *  39.04  81  68    1 300 (11-22) Southern Miss           0.55     12.45                      
23 02-01-2025 Away    W * *  43.57  85  74    1 206 (16-16) Texas St                5.08      5.92                      
24 02-05-2025 Away    L * *  28.73  72  77    1 179 (20-13) Marshall               -9.76      4.76                      
25 02-08-2025 Away    L   *  36.96  75  76    1 124 (24-12) Kent                   -1.53      0.53                      
26 02-12-2025 Home    W * *  53.92 101  67    1 300 (11-22) Southern Miss          15.43     18.57                      
27 02-15-2025 Home    L * *  32.10  70  71    1 107 (23-11) Troy                   -6.39      5.39                      
28 02-19-2025 Home    L * *  27.31  56  60    1 129 (21-11) South Alabama         -11.18      7.18                      
29 02-22-2025 Home    W * *  39.46  95  70    1 344 ( 7-25) ULM                     0.97     24.03                      
30 02-26-2025 Away    W * *  43.65  83  64    1 318 (12-21) Louisiana               5.16     13.84                      
31 02-28-2025 Away    W * *  47.57  94  67    1 344 ( 7-25) ULM                     9.08     17.92                      
32 03-08-2025 Neutral W * *  33.67  77  74    1 179 (20-13) Marshall               -4.82      7.82                      
33 03-09-2025 Neutral W * *  37.37  74  71    1 129 (21-11) South Alabama          -1.12      4.12                      
34 03-10-2025 Neutral L * *  23.16  81  94    1 107 (23-11) Troy                  -15.33      2.33                      
35 03-18-2025 Home    W   *  57.18 103  78    1 120 (19-15) Saint Louis            18.69      6.31                      
36 03-23-2025 Away    L   *  40.22  63  65    1  86 (27- 9) North Texas             1.73     -3.73                      
      Averages              38.49  79.4 70.2

Best game:   59.78 = 13 point win over Memphis
Worst game:  21.51 = 8 point loss to Rice
Team stdev:   9.77